Findings

Lockdown

Kevin Lewis

August 11, 2010

Incarcerating Death: Mortality in U.S. State Correctional Facilities, 1985-1998

Evelyn Patterson
Demography, August 2010, Pages 587-607

Abstract:
Using data from the U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics and Census Bureau, I estimate death rates of working-age prisoners and nonprisoners by sex and race. Incarceration was more detrimental to females in comparison to their male counterparts in the period covered by this study. White male prisoners had higher death rates than white males who were not in prison. Black male prisoners, however, consistently exhibited lower death rates than black male nonprisoners did. Additionally, the findings indicate that while the relative difference in mortality levels of white and black males was quite high outside of prison, it essentially disappeared in prison. Notably, removing deaths caused by firearms and motor vehicles in the nonprison population accounted for some of the mortality differential between black prisoners and nonprisoners. The death rates of the other groups analyzed suggest that prison is an unhealthy environment; yet, prison appears to be a healthier place than the typical environment of the nonincarcerated black male population. These findings suggest that firearms and motor vehicle accidents do not sufficiently explain the higher death rates of black males, and they indicate that a lack of basic healthcare may be implicated in the death rates of black males not incarcerated.

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The Effect of Employment Frictions on Crime

Bryan Engelhardt
Journal of Labor Economics, July 2010, Pages 677-718

Abstract:
This article provides estimates on how long it takes for released inmates to find a job and, when they find a job, how less likely they are to be incarcerated. An on‐the‐job search model with crime is used to model criminal behavior, derive the estimation method, and analyze policies including a job placement program. The results show that the unemployed are incarcerated twice as fast as the employed and take on average 6 months to find a job. The article demonstrates that reducing the average unemployment spell of previously incarcerated criminals by 3 months reduces crime and recidivism by more than 5%.

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"Everyone knows their Miranda rights": Implicit assumptions and countervailing evidence

Richard Rogers, Jill Rogstad, Nathan Gillard, Eric Drogin, Hayley Blackwood & Daniel Shuman
Psychology, Public Policy, and Law, August 2010, Pages 300-318

Abstract:
In its landmark decision in Miranda v. Arizona (1966), the Supreme Court of the United States buttressed the Constitutional privilege against self-incrimination by requiring as a procedural safeguard that various aspects of this privilege be clearly communicated to custodial suspects. Members of the public often believe that their continually media-fueled familiarity with Miranda warnings results in an adequate understanding of Miranda rights - a frequently erroneous assumption that may diminish counsel's motivation to investigate Miranda waivers and may influence court rulings on the validity of such waivers. The current investigation examined Miranda rights misconceptions held by two groups of pretrial defendants: those arrested more recently (i.e., less than 2 weeks ago) and those arrested less recently (i.e., 4 weeks ago or more). The misconceptions of these groups were then contrasted with those of undergraduate students representing a more educated and comparatively unstressed segment of American society. Results revealed a host of widely-held misconceptions, including a fundamental misunderstanding of the function of the "right to remain silent" as a legal protection. Moreover, many misconceptions appeared unrelated to intelligence, education, or prior contacts with the criminal justice system. The implications of these findings are discussed with respect to the validity of Miranda waivers.

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An empirical examination of AMBER Alert ‘successes'

Timothy Griffin
Journal of Criminal Justice, forthcoming

Abstract:
The AMBER Alert system was designed to recover endangered missing children through the solicitation of citizen assistance via swift public announcements. Rigorous empirical support for AMBER Alert's effectiveness has been lacking, but since its inception program advocates and public safety officials have lauded the system's ability to "save lives", often basing their optimism on AMBER Alert "success" stories. However, in this paper quantitative and qualitative analyses of 333 publicized and celebrated AMBER Alert "successes" suggest AMBER Alerts rarely result in the retrieval of abducted children from clearly "life-threatening" situations, and that most of the publicized successes involved relatively benign abductors and unthreatening circumstances. The routine conflation of such apparently mundane cases with rare dramatic successes by AMBER Alert advocates suggests popular portrayals of AMBER Alert are overly sanguine. The potentially negative effects of this and policy implications are discussed.

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For Incapacitation, There Is No Time Like the Present: The Lagged Effects of Prisoner Reentry on Property and Violent Crime Rates

Robert DeFina & Lance Hannon
Social Science Research, forthcoming

Abstract:
Previous research has suggested that prisons can both reduce and increase crime. These counterbalancing effects will have different timings. Prison reduces crime by denying those currently behind bars the opportunity to commit further offenses. However, the prison experience and the stigma of an incarceration record can be criminogenic. Once released, ex-inmates might commit more crimes than they otherwise would have. Additionally, an influx of former inmates can cause social disorganization in the community at large. Unlike incapacitation, these crime-promoting effects are not limited to the present, but are based on the proportion of the population that has experienced incarceration either in the current year or in any past year. While some previous studies have recognized the counterbalancing effects, they have only considered the contemporaneous impacts. We develop a statistical model that captures the contemporaneous and lagged effects of incarceration and reentry rates on property and violent crime rates. State-level panel data results (1978-2003) suggest that, with the inclusion of just five years of lags for incarceration and prisoner societal reentry rates, any crime-reducing benefits of increased incarceration are completely eliminated by the crime-promoting effects associated with the increasing prevalence of ex-cons. This conclusion is robust to several alternative specifications, including one that accounts for potential reverse causality between the crime and incarceration rates.

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Effect of Increased Private Share of Inpatient Psychiatric Resources on Jail Population Growth: Evidence from the United States

Jangho Yoon
Social Science & Medicine, forthcoming

Abstract:
There is a strong connection between the mental health and criminal justice systems. This research empirically tested whether the privatization of the inpatient mental health system alters this relationship, contributing to jail population growth. Using state-level panel data on U.S. states and the District of Columbia for the years 1985 to 1998, this study analyzed the relationship between the size of jail populations and private share of hospital psychiatric beds, first for overall private beds and then separately by private for-profit and nonprofit. Empirical models controlled for changes in mental health financing and resources, variations in criminal justice practice, and demographic and socio-economic factors as well as state and year fixed effects. A method of instrumental variables was employed to make a stronger case for causal inference. Results show that a one-percentage point increase in the private for-profit share of psychiatric beds contributes to the growth of jail inmates by approximately 2.3% annually. A greater private nonprofit share of psychiatric beds does not appear to influence the size of jail populations. These findings suggest that the increased private for-profit share of inpatient psychiatric resources undermines the safety-net and some control function of the mental health system and leads to a greater number of jail inmates.

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Race, concentrated disadvantage, and recidivism: A test of interaction effects

Michael Wehrman
Journal of Criminal Justice, July-August 2010, Pages 538-544

Abstract:
This study sought to explore if the structural characteristics of a community (specifically what sociologists term concentrated disadvantage) interact with race in predicting recidivism. The literature on recidivism stresses the effects of individual factors. This study considered whether effects of the community in which an ex-prisoner lives should be further explored. Of particular interest was the possibility of interaction between concentrated disadvantage and race. Results showed that race strongly predicts recidivism (Blacks being much more likely to recidivate than Whites). This remained the case in spite of multiple controls accounting for racial differences. Neither concentrated disadvantage nor the interaction between it and race had significant effects on recidivism. The study considered what might account for the lingering racial effect, and why the community does not affect the likelihood of recidivism.

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Prison's Dilemma: Do Education and Jobs Programmes Affect Recidivism?

Norman Sedgley, Charles Scott, Nancy Williams & Frederick Derrick
Economica, July 2010, Pages 497-517

Abstract:
This paper employs a hazard model to analyse the impact of education and two types of prison employment programmes on recidivism over a ten-year period for 4515 prisoners released from Ohio prisons in 1992. Estimations with a Weibull mixture model and propensity score approach provide two means for investigating self-selection bias. Selection bias is detected for participation in the most common prison job programme but has little effect on estimated marginal savings impacts of prison industry and education programmes. Estimates of the cost savings from postponing return to prison due to programme participation are provided. The potential for cost savings through decreasing or delaying return to prison is an important finding given the substantial and increasing cost of incarceration.

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Comparing the effects of community service and short-term imprisonment on recidivism: A matched samples approach

Hilde Wermink, Arjan Blokland, Paul Nieuwbeerta, Daniel Nagin & Nikolaj Tollenaar
Journal of Experimental Criminology, September 2010, Pages 325-349

Abstract:
This study uses longitudinal official record data on adult offenders in The Netherlands (n = 4,246) to compare recidivism after community service to that after short-term imprisonment. To account for possible bias due to selection of offenders into these types of sanctions, we control for a large set of confounding variables using a combined method of ‘matching by variable' and ‘propensity score matching'. Our findings demonstrate that offenders recidivate significantly less after having performed community service compared to after having been imprisoned. This finding holds for both the short- and long-term. Furthermore, using the Rosenbaum bounds method, we show that the results are robust for hidden bias.

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Offender military enlistment as an emotionally intelligent justice system intervention

Mitchell Miller, Eagle Shutt & Barry Bernstein
Journal of Criminal Justice, July-August 2010, Pages 376-382

Abstract:
Military enlistment programs offer offenders opportunities to serve in the armed forces as alternatives to traditional criminal sanctioning both prior and post adjudication. Offender enlistment as a form of diversion embodies a rehabilitative ideal but faces formidable cultural and institutional implementation barriers, including recruiting regulations, security clearance requirements, public relations considerations, and military distrust. This study explored the utility of offender enlistment as an emotionally intelligent justice system intervention. It is argued that offender enlistment addresses internal and external offender control deficits while avoiding the expense and stigma of incarceration. The policy implications of offender enlistment as normative practice are considered.

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Murder by numbers: Monetary costs imposed by a sample of homicide offenders

Matt DeLisi, Anna Kosloski, Molly Sween, Emily Hachmeister, Matt Moore & Alan Drury
Journal of Forensic Psychiatry & Psychology, August 2010, Pages 501-513

Abstract:
Prior research on the monetary costs of criminal careers has neglected to focus on homicide offenders and tended to minimize the public costs associated with crime. Drawing on expanded monetization estimates produced by Cohen and Piquero, this study assessed the monetary costs for five crimes (murder, rape, armed robbery, aggravated assault, and burglary) imposed by a sample of (n = 654) convicted and incarcerated murderers. The average cost per murder exceeded $17.25 million and the average murderer in the current sample posed costs approaching $24 million. The most violent and prolific offenders singly produced costs greater than $150-160 million in terms of victim costs, criminal justice costs, lost offender productivity, and public willingness-to-pay costs.

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Death penalty views in China, Japan and the U.S.: An empirical comparison

Shanhe Jiang, Eric Lambert, Jin Wang, Toyoji Saito & Rebecca Pilot
Journal of Criminal Justice, forthcoming

Abstract:
Many nations impose the death penalty, yet most of the literature on capital punishment has focused on Western nations, particularly the U.S. China and Japan are two retentionist nations. Based on the data collected in 2005, this study examined the level of death penalty support and views on capital punishment among college students from China, Japan, and the U.S. It was found that Chinese respondents reported the highest level of death penalty support, followed by Japanese and U.S. students. Respondents from China and Japan were more likely to believe in the deterrence value of capital punishment than their U.S. counterparts. Views on retribution differed among the respondents. U.S. students were most likely to feel that innocent people are sentenced to death. In multivariate analyses, deterrence was the strongest correlate of death penalty views among Chinese and Japanese respondents, followed closely by retribution. For both Chinese and Japanese students, the barbarity of government taking the life of a person was the strongest predictor for opposing the death penalty. For U.S. respondents, retribution was the strongest reason for supporting capital punishment and the barbarity of executions was the strongest reason for opposing the death penalty.

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The total effects of boot camps that house juveniles: A systematic review of the evidence

Benjamin Meade & Benjamin Steiner
Journal of Criminal Justice, forthcoming

Abstract:
Boot camp programs were first introduced in the 1980s, became increasingly popular as a correctional sanction, and were widely adopted and implemented throughout the United States. This study involved an examination of the prevalence of state run boot camps for juvenile delinquents and a systematic review of the existing evaluations of boot camp programs that house juveniles. In addition to the effects of boot camps on recidivism, within program effects on participants' attitudes and perceptions of boot camp, and jurisdiction-level effects on bed space were examined. Findings revealed that boot camps are less prevalent than they were in the 1990s. Boot camps, by themselves, typically do not have an effect on participants' odds of recidivism. Boot camps do seem to improve individuals' attitudes and other behaviors within programs. Boot camps also appear to reduce the number of confinement beds jurisdictions require, often resulting in cost savings. These findings are discussed in terms of their implications for research and practice.

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The Effects of Sex Offender Registration and Notification on Judicial Decisions

Elizabeth Letourneau, Jill Levenson, Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, Kevin Armstrong & Debajyoti Sinha
Criminal Justice Review, September 2010, Pages 295-317

Abstract:
This study examined whether South Carolina's sex offender registration and notification (SORN) policy was associated with changes in judicial decision making concerning adult sex crime cases. Outcomes pertained to reduced charges (e.g., sex to nonsex crimes) and final case dispositions. Statewide crime data from 1990 to 2004 corresponded with three time periods of interest: the 5 years immediately preceding enactment of SORN (Year Group 1; 1990-1994), the first 4 years of SORN implementation (Year Group 2; 1995-1998), and the subsequent 6 years of SORN implementation, which included Internet notification (Year Group 3; 1999-2004). Univariate and generalized estimating equations methods were used to model patterns of charging and disposition decisions with respect to year groups. Results indicated that defendants were more likely to have charges reduced from sex to nonsex crimes over time, with a 9% predicted probability of reduced charges in Year Group 1, a 15% predicted probability in Year Group 2 (corresponding with initial implementation of SORN), and a 19% predicted probability in Year Group 3 (corresponding with Internet notification). Results also indicated that the probability of a guilty disposition changed at each year group, with a predicted probability in Year Group 1 of 55%, increasing to 65% in Year Group 2, and then declining to 60% in Year Group 3. This final decline was more pronounced when pleaded cases were removed from analyses. South Carolina's SORN policy shares several characteristics with the federal Adam Walsh Act (AWA). Thus, both state and national policy implications of these findings are discussed.

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Motivations for becoming a police officer: Re-assessing officer attitudes and job satisfaction after six years on the street

Michael White, Jonathon Cooper, Jessica Saunders & Anthony Raganella
Journal of Criminal Justice, July-August 2010, Pages 520-530

Abstract:
Few studies had examined the stability of motivations for becoming a police officer over time, especially among minority and female officers. Moreover, research had not explored the links between original motivations and job satisfaction, a likely proxy measure of motivation fulfillment. The current research was a follow-up to Raganella and White (2004) who examined motivations among academy recruits in the New York City Police Department (NYPD). Using the same survey and analysis, this study re-examined motivations among officers from the same NYPD recruit class after six years on the job, and explored both motivation stability and the relationships among motivations and job satisfaction. Results suggested that motivations have remained highly stable over time, regardless of officer race/ethnicity and gender. Findings also suggested that White male officers were most likely to report low job satisfaction, and that there is a link between low satisfaction and unfulfilled motivations. Moreover, dissatisfied officers were much less likely to have expressed strong commitment to the profession through their original motivations, suggesting that low commitment up front may lead to low satisfaction later on. The article concludes with a discussion of implications for police departments, particularly with regard to recruitment and retention practices and efforts to achieve diversity.

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A half century of parole rules: Conditions of parole in the United States, 2008

Lawrence Travis & James Stacey
Journal of Criminal Justice, July-August 2010, Pages 604-608

Abstract:
There is growing concern about revocations of parole for technical violations of parole conditions. This article represents a fifth survey of standard conditions of parole in the United States. In 2008 all fifty-two parole jurisdictions were surveyed and the standard conditions of supervision identified. The results indicate that the number and types of standard conditions of parole have increased in the recent past, but that over the past half century, parole rules have retained a focus on criminal behavior and enabling post release supervision. It is more likely that our conceptions about how best to respond to rule violations have undergone change.


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